How the AI supercycle is reshaping global interest rates

The AI supercycle will pull long-term yields down in both the US and Europe, but for very different reasons and by very different paths.

Chokepoints and pressure points : what is breaking and reshaping global energy markets

The ongoing oil-price shock shouldn’t prove structural, with flows likely to normalize in 2027. But several pressure points are pulling oil and gas prices in different directions and the balance will decide where prices go next.

The (A)iceberg beneath tech debt: Recognized calm, rising spreads below the waterline

Equity captures the upside of the AI build-out, while credit absorbs the loss if it fails – yet creditors are compensated with under 1% p.a. on 5-year bonds and around 2% on 10-year.

Sector Atlas 2026: The three-speed economy

A challenging but still holding macroeconomic backdrop. Global growth is expected to ease to +2.5% in 2026 before rebounding to +2.9% in 2027, propped up significantly by AI investment, which alone contributes roughly a third of US growth. 

Central Bank Credibility as a risk: Why the ECB leads, the BoJ lags and the Fed and BoE are scrutinized

Central bank credibility is becoming a risk rather than a background condition. At Jackson Hole, the new Fed Chairman called for a quieter central bank, breaking with two decades of managing expectations while the US Treasury is co-steering financial conditions through debt maturity and buybacks. 

Ten top-of-mind questions on the bond market rout

The bond market dominates the financial news flow since summer. Here, we answer the ten top-of-mind questions about the latest market trend.

Financial Literacy Pays: Smarter Investing Goes Beyond AI

High financial literacy is key to building wealth, yet it remains the exception. Only 17% of respondents in Allianz Research's latest Financial Literacy Report score as highly literate, while one in four score low — largely unchanged from 2023.

Cracking finance: Why the quantum threat could arrive before the reward

Most technologies create value before they create problems, but quantum computing may break that pattern. Imagine two clocks ticking side by side: one measures the time until quantum computers become economically useful, the other the time until they can break the cryptography that underpins the financial system. 

When bonds stop hedging equities: rethinking portfolio diversification

The 60/40 portfolio has quietly stopped working. The risk-adjusted return investors could reasonably expect from the standard balanced portfolio has fallen to roughly a third of its long-run level, from a Sharpe ratio of 0.47 to just 0.14.