What to watch I September 12, 2024

And the Fed pivoted, BoE on pause, Poland’s fiscal risks and what happens once the US yield curve disinverts 

Long-run capital market returns in times of climate change

The materialization of physical climate risks is driving up disaster-related costs, which will ultimately translate into increased economic volatility, higher average inflation and lower real growth. What will this mean for investors? 

What to watch I September 06, 2024

ECB rate cut round two, Chinese equities feeling the heat and cooling commodity prices 

Sector Atlas 2024: the outpriced, the outcasts and the outliers

Heavy political agenda to test global economic resilience once more. Global growth bottomed out in H1, but the global manufacturing sector is still in excess supply, and demand remains sluggish especially in the Eurozone. 

What to watch I August 2, 2024

Eurozone’s OK growth numbers, the big US dollar depreciation idea and an earnings season full of what ifs

Sustainable ocean

Oceans play a critical role in keeping our climate stable and our world livable. They regulate global temperatures, taking in solar energy and distribute heat around the globe via ocean currents. 

What to watch I July 25, 2024

Fed preview, EM currency outlook and Vietnam eyes the “market economy” prize

Metals and mining: Do we live in a material world?

Though demand for metals is skyrocketing, uncertainty, price volatility and CAPEX needs make companies very cautious. According to the International Energy Associations (IEA)’s stated policies scenario (STEPS), demand for metals could double (even triple if we take the Announced Pledges Scenario (APS), which take for granted the fact that governments will reach all announced goals). 

What to watch I July 18, 2024

Business insolvencies up again, markets pricing in a Trump win but forgot inflation, and shipping costs soaring ahead of trade frictions