Allianz Research

Volle Kraft voraus:
Global Wealth Report 2025

US: Credit crunch in the making?

The US economy has been remarkably resilient to the sharpest monetary tightening in decades. While the housing market started feeling the pinch as early as summer 2022, GDP in the first quarter of 2023 is expected to show robust underlying domestic demand, buoyed by robust consumer spending. 

The green industrial revolution – Investment pathways to decarbonize the industrial sector in Europe

The industrial sector is responsible for roughly one quarter of global greenhouse-gas (GHG) emissions. A mix of measures, including energy-efficiency improvements, using hydrogen and biomass as feedstock or fuel, producing heat through electric means and adopting carbon-capture technologies, can reduce the sector’s carbon dioxide emissions to almost zero. 

Everything everywhere all at once

Negative confidence effects from the near-death experience in the US banking sector and the unresolved energy situation in Europe will shape the rest of the year. We maintain our call for a sizable recession in the US at the end of the year due to a slowdown in housing, manufacturing and construction, while economic momentum stalls in the Eurozone as fiscal stimulus is gradually pared back.