Allianz Research

Allianz Global Wealth Report 2025: Powering ahead

The price of political fragility

Political fragility is now a key driver of European sovereign bond risk, particularly ahead of the 2027 elections in France and Italy. Since QE ended, it has significantly increased borrowing costs and could keep bond spreads elevated.

Trade war 3.0: A new, lasting tariff wall

With Section 122's flat 10% tariff expiring on 24 July, the switch to Section 301 and Section 338 tariffs will send the US average import tariff back above 2025's IEEPA-era level to 12.4%, up from a May low of 7.7%. 

Cash at risk: Inventories are driving a new cycle of working capital strain

The global cash conversion cycle (CCC) rose again in 2025 — and it is stuck at a high plateau.