Global insolvency outlook: Reality check
  • As expected, 2023 recorded a high-speed and broad-based rebound in business insolvencies and 2024 started with insolvencies above pre-pandemic levels in most advanced economies. The number of business insolvencies rebounded in three out of four countries in 2023, with most recording a double-digit increase. 
What to watch I February 22, 2024

Two years of war in Ukraine – impacts on Russia and Europe

What to watch I February 16, 2024

Indonesia’s economy after the elections, a tale of two consumers in the US and UK and Türkiye’s economic rebalancing

European labor markets: Migration matters
  • Until 2050, the working age population in the EU-27 will shrink by 20%. Italy, Spain and Germany will be hit even harder by demographic change. Against this background we took a closer look at what it could take to cushion the effect of demographic change on the labor markets in the four largest economies Germany, France, Italy and Spain, running scenarios with different combinations of labor force participation, productivity and migration.
What to watch I February 08, 2024

EM currencies at risk in 2024, inventories weighing on growth, the costs of concentration risks and the EU’s new climate target

China: keeping the Dragon awake

With its real estate and foreign investment engines sputtering, China desperately needs new drivers of growth. The real estate sector has gone from hero to zero since mid-2021: We estimate real estate development has been -26% lower than its pre-pandemic trend.

 

What to watch I February 02, 2024

European farmers unite in unrest, industrial policy déjà vu in Brazil and ECOWAS put to the test

Country Risk Atlas 2024

The Country Risk Atlas is a new flagship publication from Allianz Research that provides comprehensive insights on the economic, political and ESG factors that influence non-payment risk for companies in 83 countries.

What to watch I January 26, 2024

An early pivot for the Fed would be costly, inventory glut to reduce Red Sea bullwhip effects, and the Eurozone getting its very own soft landing