Products & Services
Search
Products & Services

All publications

   

Apr 23, 2026

Energy shock and policy response: Once bitten, twice shy?

The current energy shock is fundamentally a supply disruption, not just a price event, with Asia most at risk. 

Apr 22, 2026

Global Insolvency Outlook: Brace for Middle East spillovers

Spillovers from the Middle East crisis will make 2026 the fifth consecutive year of rising global business insolvencies. 

Apr 16, 2026

Nowhere to hide? Rethinking safe havens and safe assets in a fragmented world

The US dollar emerged as the last remaining safe haven standing amid the war in Iran. However, this situation is increasingly conditional and regime-dependent.

Apr 13, 2026

A wind of change for Hungary

Hungary's 12 April election delivered the country's most consequential result since 2010 and a decisive mandate for change. 

Apr 09, 2026

From invisible to investible: An investment taxonomy for climate adaptation

Exposure to climate risk is rising sharply but unevenly across hazards and regions. Global warming continues to accelerate, with 2025 the third-warmest year on record, reinforcing warnings that the +1.5°C threshold could be reached as early as 2030. 

Apr 08, 2026

Allianz Trade Global Survey 2026: Business as unusual

The Middle East conflict has added a new layer of shocks to an already fragile environment shaped by tariffs, weakening demand and declining consumer confidence. 

Apr 07, 2026

Pixels of crisis: A granular look at the risks of non-payment due to the conflict in the Middle East

The Middle East conflict and the disruption of the Strait of Hormuz have led to a broad-based reassessment of non-payment risks, with country downgrades outweighing upgrades. 

Mar 31, 2026

Economic outlook 2026-27: The Fog of War

The war in the Middle East sets the stage. For the US and Europe, we expect lower growth, higher inflation, stronger fiscal pressure and a challenging situation for central banks.

Mar 25, 2026

AI capex cycle: war-proof for now

AI hype deflates amid the capex-monetization debate. Despite strong recent earnings, investor focus has shifted from profitability boost to revenue growth trajectory and cash-flow visibility, particularly given hyperscalers’ elevated capex plans (≈USD575bn, +50% expected in 2026) and weakening sentiment toward software amid risks of AI-driven revenue dilution. 

Mar 23, 2026

Signal without response: Why the EU ETS needs resolve, not redesign

The EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) is at a political and structural inflection point, with allowance prices falling sharply by around -24% in the first two months of 2026. 

611 releases in total