Pension Reform Survey 2026: Everyone knows reform is needed, few expect it to happen

Citizens recognize the need for social security reforms, but have far less confidence that reforms will actually be delivered. Our survey of more than 8,000 respondents across Austria, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain, the UK and the US explores public attitudes towards social security reform, pension sustainability and retirement preparedness. 

The semiconductor premium: EM equity and the concentration risk within

Semiconductors are the backbone of the 2026 AI rally.

Ten Years After Brexit: Resilience Without Revival

Brexit 10 years on: Neither collapse, nor renaissance. As the UK looks for its 7th Prime Minister in 10 years, this week also marks a decade since Brexit roiled markets and divided forecasters.

Public vs. private equity: The widest equity return gap in two decades

Public equities have repriced the future while private equity is still monetizing the past. 

Southern Europe won the last decade. The next one is less obvious

Southern Europe has delivered an impressive turnaround this past decade, broader and more durable than many expected.

US-Iran deal: Markets price peace, economies still pay for war

Markets have celebrated the end of the Strait of Hormuz conflict. The economy has not yet earned that relief — and for most households, corporates, and governments, things may get worse before they get better. The physical reopening is a multi-month process, not a switch.

From kickoff to cash flow – Taking the 2026 Football World Championship on tour

The Football World Cup 2026 will be the largest tournament in football (soccer) history and a structural departure from previous editions, expanding from 32 to 48 teams and from 64 to 104 matches across 16 host cities in the US, Canada and Mexico.

Emerging markets in a fragmented world: From geography to resilience - the 4Rs framework

The Iran war marked the first major oil shock that did not trigger a broad emerging markets sell-off. Markets repriced countries based on strengths and weaknesses rather than the traditional EM–DM divide. 

Weed out the laggards: Sustainability as a credit filter

Financial fundamentals remain the primary drivers of credit risk. Across more than 7,400 companies and 280,000 firm-year observations, profitability (ROA), leverage and size collectively explain the vast majority of variation in credit risk. 

Matryoshka market: Nested convictions in equities

Geopolitical resolution is the master assumption. Equity markets are pricing a framework agreement by September, consistent with the prediction market consensus and the pronounced kink in VIX term structure at Q3.