Allianz Research

Volle Kraft voraus:
Global Wealth Report 2025

Is fashion retail falling out of fashion?

European consumer confidence has taken a hit in the wake of the invasion of Ukraine. Amid lower economic growth, retailers could face a -EUR4.85bn hit to fashion consumer spending for 2022, with Italy (-EUR1.45bn) and Germany (-EUR1.12bn) facing the largest declines. 

Germany: Limiting economic pain from going cold turkey on Russian gas

Should gas supplies from Russia come to a halt, we estimate Germany’s supply gap at 30% of total gas consumption. Additional storage withdrawal, tapping new gas suppliers, substitution measures such as fuel-switching and self-rationing by the private sector due to sky-high gas prices will help reduce the shortfall and cause limited economic disruptions; yet the remaining gas supply gap of 13% will require rationing actions.

Global Trade: Battling out of demand and price shocks

The invasion of Ukraine and renewed Covid-19 outbreaks in China are hitting global trade with a double whammy in 2022: lower volumes and higher prices.