Fed not yet budging from two rate hikes this year

At its fourth meeting this year the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee remained on hold.

How does the Fed view the risks?

At this week’s meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee will probably leave the target range for the key rate at 0.25%-0.5%.

Spring awakening in manufacturing sector?

Overall, the plethora of recently published economic data support our view that, following the very subdued performance in the final quarter of 2015, the US economy is getting back into stride.

An incongruous end to 2015

At the end of this week the Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the initial estimate for GDP in the final quarter 2015. The general expectation is that growth will be disappointing.

End of zero rates

In all likelihood the US Federal Reserve will abandon its wait-and-see stance this week and end the zero interest rate policy after seven years.

Falling unemployment points to December rate hike

The jobs report for October surprised on the upside. It not only showed a return to more dynamic jobs growth compared with the preceding two months, hourly wages also picked up markedly to stand 2.5% up on a year earlier.

Fed remains on hold

Although in recent months the Federal Reserve had been preparing markets for a rate hike, it has decided to remain on hold.

Labor market picture backs rate hike

The US Fed meets next week to discuss its monetary policy and present updated economic projections.

Fed reaffirms gradual normalization of monetary policy

As expected, the Fed has left its target rate for the federal funds rate at 0-0.25%. At the same time it continues to signal that the first rate hikes could take place this year.