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Allianz Research

Powering ahead:
Global Wealth Report 2025

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All chapters

Executive summary

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Financial assets: powering ahead

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Liabilities: No recovery

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Real estate: Bottoming out

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Distribution: No progress

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Appendices

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Our team

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Dual circulation: China’s way of reshoring?

Over the long run, the Chinese economy is facing two key challenges: declining potential growth and a deteriorating external environment. Our growth potential model suggests China’s GDP growth is likely to average between +3.8% and +4.9% over the coming decade (after +7.6% in the 2010s), due to declining labor supply and slowing productivity and capital investment. 

 

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The transatlantic spread: Pricing in inflation (un)certainty

The transatlantic yield spread between the U.S. and the Eurozone narrowed by over 80bp until mid-September but has clearly re-widened lately. The prevailing view among market participants seems to be that this divergence reflects a divergence in economic momentum as the Eurozone is heading for a double dip.

 

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