A new decade high for major insolvencies driven by services, retail and construction

Business insolvencies ended 2025 with an upside trend in most countries, despite already high levels. The first final data available for 2025 confirm our expectations of a +6% increase in global business insolvencies, with Western Europe (+6%) remaining a key contributor to the global trend, several Asian countries posting double-digit rises (five out of nine) and most advanced economies noticeably exceeding pre-pandemic numbers.

From Japan with love: New policy stance creates both market opportunities and liquidity risks

The major sell-off on the long end of the Japanese sovereign yield curve is not a “Truss moment” but signals a bumpy final stage of Japan’s monetary normalization.

Trade receivables in a fragmented world: Navigating collection complexity

Recovering commercial debt could become even more of a challenge as business insolvencies remain high in most countries.

EU-India trade deal: EUR30bn of combined yearly exports gains in a fragmented world

After signing the EU–Mercosur agreement on 17 January, the EU is looking to speed up its trade policy momentum to diversify trade structures in a more fragmented global economy. A trade deal with India could be finalized at the EU-India summit this week.

Eyes back on the Fed (and on interventionist financial policies)

We continue to expect only one rate cut (-25bps to 3.50%) from the Fed this year. This cut is now expected in June instead of March, which confirms a normalization of monetary policy to neutral settings. 

Tackling the Insurance Protection Gap

The report analyses how climate change and nature loss are undermining insurability widening the global insurance protection gap and sets out policy solutions to strengthen resilience for households, businesses and governments

The heat is on: Unlocking Germany’s heat-pump potential

Germany’s path to net-zero runs through its homes and buildings. The building sector, responsible for 21% of the country’s emissions, is lagging behind other sectors in decarbonization.

Geopolitics heats up from Venezuela, to Greenland to Iran, but investors shrug. For how long?

2026 started off on a strong footing with geopolitics taking on center stage, again. Market reactions have been fairly muted so far, with global equities, rates and FX remaining stable. 

Allianz Risk Barometer: Identifying the major business risks for 2026

The most important corporate concerns for the year ahead, as ranked by 3,300+ risk management experts from 97 countries and territories

Economic outlook 2026-27: Stretching the limits

Global GDP growth is expected to reach +2.9% in 2026 and +2.8% in 2027, following a robust +3% in 2025.