Allianz Research

Allianz Global Wealth Report 2024:
Surprising relief

Please note: in the event of discrepancies in calculations and figures, the most recently published value shall apply.

When bonds stop hedging equities: rethinking portfolio diversification

The 60/40 portfolio has quietly stopped working. The risk-adjusted return investors could reasonably expect from the standard balanced portfolio has fallen to roughly a third of its long-run level, from a Sharpe ratio of 0.47 to just 0.14.

The price of political fragility

Political fragility is now a key driver of European sovereign bond risk, particularly ahead of the 2027 elections in France and Italy. Since QE ended, it has significantly increased borrowing costs and could keep bond spreads elevated.

Trade war 3.0: A new, lasting tariff wall

With Section 122's flat 10% tariff expiring on 24 July, the switch to Section 301 and Section 338 tariffs will send the US average import tariff back above 2025's IEEPA-era level to 12.4%, up from a May low of 7.7%.