A 2020 semiconductor slump will send shockwaves across the electronics industry 

While the semiconductor industry as a whole will maintain above average credit metrics, with low financial leverage and positive cash generation, we believe a second consecutive year of falling revenue and an uncertain business environment will exacerbate risks for five specific profiles of companies operating in the wider electronics industry:

 

  • Second-tier chipmakers with an asset-heavy business model engaged in an unsustainable investment race.
  • Chinese electronic product assembly specialists, which are losing clients as companies are shifting their sourcing strategies away from China.
  • U.S. and Chinese semiconductor and electronic product companies, which are facing additional trade restrictions that hurt sales and profits.
  • South Korean chipmakers, which rely heavily on key Japanese chemicals used in semiconductor manufacturing as tensions between the two countries are escalating.
  • U.S. electronics retailers that are looking to preserve their market shares in a declining market and facing new tariffs on electronics goods coming in December 2019.

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Aurelien Duthoit
Euler Hermes