With buffers waning, most vulnerable corporates and sectors have been caught between a rock and hard place in 2023, with hospitality, transportation and wholesale/retail on the front line.
The African continent is showing much greater resilience than expected, given the set of macro-financial conditions. Economic resilience and adaptability to prolonged political violence, events leading to business interruption and challenging financing conditions will set the stage for an acceleration in 2024-2025 as many growth enablers persist.
A trough in global economic activity is expected at the turn of the year followed by below-trend growth in 2024-25. Consumer demand will remain soft amid negative wealth effects and increasing precautionary savings.